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数学学院、所2020年系列学术活动(第207场):范猛教授 东北师范大学

发表于: 2020-09-08   点击: 

报告题目:Effect of delay in diagnosis on transmission of COVID-19

报 告 人:范猛教授 东北师范大学

报告时间:2020年9月10日 19:00 - 20:00

报告地点:腾讯会议平台: 会议 ID:582 713 432

会议密码:135246

校内联系人:邹永魁,zouyk@jlu.edu.cn


报告摘要:

The outbreak of COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 is a growing global concern. Delay in diagnosis and limited hospital resources lead to a rapid spread of COVID-19. In this talk, the effect of delay in diagnosis on the disease transmission is investigated with a new formulated dynamic model. Sensitivity analyses and numerical simulations reveal that, improving the proportion of timely diagnosis and shortening the waiting time for diagnosis can not eliminate COVID-19 but can effectively decrease the basic reproduction number, significantly reduce the transmission risk, and effectively prevent the endemic of COVID-19. More rigorous prevention measures and better treatment of patients are needed to control its further spread.

报告人简介:

范猛,东北师范大学数学与统计学院二级教授、博士生导师、 院长。主要研究方向:生物数学,常(泛函)微分方程。教育部新世纪优秀人才、国务院政府特殊津贴获得者,吉林省首批长白山学者特聘教授、吉林省高级专家等。中国数学会常务理事、中国数学会生物数学专业委员会副主任、吉林省工业与应用数学学会副理事长、吉林省数学会秘书长。